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How Do Bay Area Companies Compare to Those Outside It?

On today's ProfitWell Report, we break down how companies in the Bay Area compare to those outside of it. Is there a difference in growth, or in retention? To answer, we looked at the growth data from just over 3k companies from all over the world.

This episode might reference ProfitWell and ProfitWell Recur, which following the acquisition by Paddle is now Paddle Studios. Some information may be out of date.

Originally published: April 25, 2019

After spending a ton of time in the Bay Area over the past few years, and having offices in both Boston and Rosario, Argentina, I’ve learned that us operators outside of Silicon Valley love to compare our ecosystems to the Bay Area, but no one in the Bay Area is comparing themselves to Boston, New York, London, or any of the other ecosystems out there.

Silicon Valley is the Mecca after all, so comparisons probably just don’t make much sense.

Yet, as costs of living increase substantially in Silicon Valley, more operators are getting fed up and moving on, which may be a mistake when it comes to growth.

No matter how you slice it, companies in the Bay Area grow quicker on average than companies outside of the Bay Area.

When looking at the journey from $1M to $10M, those companies across different average revenues per user based in the bay area have growth rates anywhere from 15 to 26% higher compared to those companies outside the Bay Area.

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Bay Area Companies Grow Quicker from $1M to $10M in ARR

Bay Area Companies Grow Quicker Above $10M

There are an enormous amount of lurking variables here as to why we’re seeing this. There’s certainly more funding in Silicon Valley compared to the rest of the world, there tends to be more companies than the rest of the world, and you have many more anchor companies feeding talent to the ecosystem like Facebook, Google, et al.

Yet, with the rise of costs, maybe slower growth is ok for longer term gains. I know that’s a bit of blasphemy, but the growth at all costs mindset is dissipating more and more as our markets mature in the favor of smarter growth and better retention.

On this axis, the Bay Area is actually losing. Take a look at the retention rates of our different groups. Those companies outside the Bay Area tend to have noticeably better retention when between $1M and $10M in revenue, as well as when over $10M in revenue.

Lower Retention from $1M-$10M ARR for Bay Area

Lower Retention over $10M ARR for Bay Area

Admittedly, the gain isn’t a home run and could be attributed to a whole host of factors, but companies in the Bay Area typically have a culture of spend, spend, and spend, which is the job of a heavily funded company - deploy capital.

This spending can lead to poor unit economics and acquiring the wrong types of customers who then end up churning.

Ultimately, Silicon Valley is Silicon Valley for a reason. It’s our cradle of innovation, spurring almost all of the greatest hits in our industry. It’s certainly possible to build a successful company outside of the Bay Area and we’re seeing the rise of the rest, but until these other ecosystems have the necessary ingredients, the Bay Area will still continue to win out.

Want to learn more? Check out our recent episode: Is All Software Going to $0? and subscribe to the show to get new episodes.

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You've got the questions,

and we have the data.

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This is the ProfitWell Report.

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Hey, Neil.

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Sameen here from Eventable with

a quick question for you about

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how companies

differ by geography.

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In the data that

you guys have seen,

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how do companies in the Bay Area

compare to those outside the Bay Area?

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Welcome back, everyone. Neil

here for the Profitable Report.

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After spending a ton of time

thinking about the Bay Area

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over the last few years,

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but also having our offices here

in Boston and Rosario, Argentina,

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I've learned that us operators

outside of Silicon Valley love

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to compare our ecosystem

to the Bay Area.

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But no one in the Bay Area is

comparing themselves to Boston,

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New York, London, or any of

the other ecosystems out there.

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Yet as cost of living increase

substantially in Silicon

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Valley, more operators are

getting fed up and moving on,

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which may be a mistake

when it comes to growth.

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So to answer this

week's question,

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we looked at the growth data

from just over three thousand

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companies from all

over the world.

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As to not bury the lead,

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companies in the Bay Area

grow quicker on average than

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companies outside

of the Bay Area,

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no matter how you

slice the data.

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When looking at the journey

from one million to ten million,

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those companies across

different average revenues per

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user based in the Bay Area

have growth rates anywhere from

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fifteen to twenty six percent

higher compared to those

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outside the Bay Area.

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Note, though, that these gains don't seem

to correlate with the size of the customer,

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meaning it's not as if SMB

focused companies are better

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than enterprise

companies in the region.

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When you get past ten

million in annual revenue,

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you'll notice that the growth

rates relative to those outside

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of the Bay Area do slow a bit,

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but they're still growing at

a higher rate than those outside

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of the Bay Area with

eight to sixteen percent higher growth

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rates across the board.

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There are an enormous amount

of lurking variables here as to

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why we're seeing this.

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There's certainly more funding

in Silicon Valley compared to

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the rest of the world.

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There tends to be more companies

than the rest of the world.

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You have many, many more anchor

companies feeding talent to the ecosystem

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like Facebook,

Google, and others.

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Yet with the rise of costs,

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maybe a bit of slower growth

is okay for longer term gains.

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00:02:07,205 --> 00:02:08,805

I know that's a

bit of blasphemy,

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00:02:08,805 --> 00:02:11,765

but the growth at all costs of

mindset is dissipating more and

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00:02:11,765 --> 00:02:14,920

more as our markets mature in

the favor of smarter growth and

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better retention.

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On this axis, the Bay

Area is actually losing.

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Take a look at the retention

rates of our different groups.

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Those companies based outside

of the Bay Area tend to have

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noticeably better retention

when between one million and

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ten million in revenue as well as

when over ten million in revenue.

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00:02:32,570 --> 00:02:35,850

Admittedly, the gain isn't a home run

and could be attributed to a whole

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host of but companies in the

Bay Area typically have a

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culture of spend, spend, spend,

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00:02:40,305 --> 00:02:44,065

which is a job of a heavily

funded company deploy capital.

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This spending can lead to poor

unit economics and acquiring

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the wrong type of customers

who then end up churning.

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00:02:49,650 --> 00:02:52,965

Ultimately, Silicon Valley is

Silicon Valley for a reason.

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00:02:52,965 --> 00:02:54,485

It's a cradle of innovation,

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00:02:54,485 --> 00:02:57,205

spurring almost all of the

greatest hits in our industry.

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00:02:57,205 --> 00:02:59,205

It's certainly possible to

build a successful company

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outside of the Bay Area,

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00:03:00,450 --> 00:03:02,210

and we're seeing the

rise of the rest.

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00:03:02,210 --> 00:03:04,770

But until these other

ecosystems have the necessary

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00:03:04,770 --> 00:03:08,195

ingredients, the Bay Area will

still continue to win out.

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Well, that's it for now.

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If you have any

questions at all,

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send me an email or video

to neil at profit well dot com.

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And if you got value here or

any other week of the report,

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we appreciate any and all

shares to Twitter and LinkedIn

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because that's how we

know to keep going.

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This week's episode is brought

to you by ProfitWell recognized.

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